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INTERVIEW
SUBJECT: Robert B. Reich
FILM:
LANDSLIDE - The Presidency of Herbert Hoover
INTERVIEWER:
Tracy Dorsey
|
This interview
was recorded in May 2008 at the University of California at Berkley
as part of LANDSLIDE - The Presidency of Herbert Hoover. The documentary
is a co-production of the Duncan Group and Stamats Communications.
Iowa Public Television is the presenter and flagship affiliate for
the PBS system. Robert B. Reich is Professor of Public Policy at
the Goldman School of Public Policy at the University of California
at Berkeley. He has served in three national administrations, most
recently as Secretary of Labor under President Bill Clinton
(*
This transcript has been edited due to length.)
In
your book Super-Capitalism you explain how capitalism has evolved
through the various decades and you talk about the post World War
II era, as well as the current era, how would you describe capitalism
in the early 20th Century?
Capitalism
in the early 20th Century was trying to adjust to a very new phenomenon,
the big corporation. Nobody knew exactly how to make the big corporation
democratically responsible. Teddy Roosevelt had embarked on trust
busting, basically chopping up some of the big corporations. That
was very difficult to do. By the 1920's nobody worried very much,
the big corporation was still very, very big - democracy was still
being overrun by big corporations, but there was so much prosperity.
There was so much post-WW I prosperity. Happy days, no strike, start
again, it wasn't happy days are here again. The big problem for
the 20th Century was how to accommodate corporate power into democracy.
We had never as a nation dealt with big corporations, big mass producing
corporations that came on stream at the start of the 20th Century.
But by the 1920s people stopped worrying very much about it, prosperity,
in the post WWI era, was so great everybody was doing very well,
kind of no worries for anybody. We put all of those concerns on
the back burner.
What
was the Federal Government's role in this economic system at the
time? What was the primary role?
The Federal
Government did not have much of a role in the economic system before
the 1930s. The Federal Government still viewed, the economic system
pretty much as a state or local phenomenon. There were state laws,
governing minimum wages and working conditions, but the Federal
Government didn't really have a clear role. Nobody had thought very
much about the Federal Government with regard to regulating the
entire economy.
And
so Herbert Hoover in this period, you know his political philosophy
kind of evolved throughout his course as politician, but how would
you describe him in the early days of his political life in the
'20s and as he assumed office?
Herbert Hoover
was a progressive. He was very much out of the progressive tradition,
people who thought that the Federal Government did have a major
role to make life better for the average person in the United States.
He's not remembered that way, but he was a modernizer. He believed
in bringing the knowledge about how great corporations were run
to Federal Government, making the entire country run better and
run well and making the entire economy run like a huge machine,
a huge corporation, very efficient. And Herbert Hoover is not credited
enough with what he accomplished as Secretary of Commerce, probably
the, among the best Secretaries of Commerce ever in history, in
terms of bringing the American economy into the 20th Century.
Can
you talk about that a little bit more? Some people say he was too
progressive. Some people say he wasn't progressive enough. He was
very nuanced however in his political views with American Individualism
and not wanting the government to actually manipulate business too
much. Can you talk about his philosophy of American Individualism?
Hoover did
not want government to manipulate business too much. He did not
believe in regulations. He assumed that business in association
with government, working collaboratively with government could come
up with most of the answers to most of the problems that business
and the economy faced. He was the one that came up with the notion
of putting companies together in associations. The associationists'
movement was Herbert Hoover's idea. You create associations in every
industry and they help government understand what the industry needs
to perform better. Herbert Hoover also understood that in many industries
there had to be common standards, common weights, common measures.
New industries were developing, the aircraft industry, applications
for electricity and if there weren't common weights and measures
and standards then there's no way that the industry could develop.
So he again, voluntarily thought about putting industry panels together
to come up with the voluntary standards. The National Bureau of
Standards, for example, was his invention in the Department of Commerce.
You
talked about trust busting being a concern in the beginning of the
20th Century and here Hoover is putting all of these businesses
together. How did he dance around the issue of price fixing, for
example?
The country
was not terribly concerned about price fixing by the 1920s. It had
been a progressive issue, certainly in the 1890s with the Robber
Barons, certainly by the time Teddy Roosevelt became President in
1901 a lot of people were worried about big combinations. But Herbert
Hoover decided and the public was behind him that there were some
advantages in collaboration among businesses and in industries.
Not over prices, no they wouldn't collaborate over prices, but they
would collaborate over entry barriers, standards. Who could get
into the industry? What you had to do to be a member of the industry?
What standards you had to describe to in terms of being a good participant
in the industry? Who could be relied on by the public, by consumers
and to a large extent by investors?
One
of his focuses in terms of associations was the farming community,
I know that he put together quite a few farming associations and
tried to get the farmers and the middle men to work together collaboratively.
Despite the common perception of the 1920s as being a boom throughout,
the farming industry was going through maybe an early depression,
certainly a slump. Can you talk about that a little bit, how did
the farming slump begin?
The farming
industry did not share in the prosperity of the 1920s. Farming was
still relatively primitive. It was not highly productive. Other
industries were becoming more and more productive. The market system
particularly investment was not getting to farmers. Farmers were
still very small business people, small farms. Herbert Hoover understood
that what farmers needed most was, first of all, education, understanding
of the latest methods of crop rotation, fertilizers. Herbert Hoover's
very interested in getting farmers together in associations that
would be able to ask government to help them in progressive ways
- to maybe come up with ways to extend new crops, new applications
for new plantings, perhaps ways to extend irrigation and to extend
new crop land, perhaps ways to improve crop rotations and therefore
avoid depletion of the soil. You have to understand, Herbert Hoover
had enormous confidence in science and the ability of science and
new discovery to solve almost any social problem. And therefore
the farming problem was simply one among many problems that Herbert
Hoover said well you get together, all the farmers, get together
in an association we will bring to bear as a nation, the best thinking
about what should be done and the solution will be apparent.
But
the problem was it a problem of science or was it an after effect
of World War I? I mean what caused the markets to drop out and the
prices to drop to record lows in the farming industry at this time?
Farming was
not just, the problems that farmers faced were not just problems
of lack of knowledge or lack of understanding, or lack of new science.
Some of the problems had to do with the prices dropping out of the
farm community in the post World War I era. There was prosperity
for the rest of the economy, but part of that prosperity was almost
at the expense of the farmers because commodities became so cheap.
Tim
Egan of the New York Times said that at this point Herbert Hoover,
where I guess he is food administrator at this point, introduced
price guarantees. So that I think it was wheat for the first time,
was the first commodity that he introduced with a price guarantee
and that this was a radical departure in Republican free market
philosophy. Egan seemed to imply that it was a radical departure
from Hoover's association and you know government having a light
touch.
Herbert Hoover
was not a doctrinaire free market fundamentalist. Herbert Hoover
understood that government needed as a very pragmatic way to help
industry, when industry was in trouble. For example, farmers needed
some guarantees with regard to keeping up their prices. Otherwise
they couldn't invest. Otherwise they wouldn't know that they were
going to have a market to take the next crop. So Herbert Hoover
developed idea of price guarantees for farmers. Now again the free-marketers
didn't like this at all, but Hoover argued that as a pragmatic measure
it was necessary to give farmers some confidence about what their
crops would actually be worth in the future market, so that they
could invest in the future. Hoover extended that concept to many
other industries, and it was completely consistent with associationalism.
You see the idea was you get all of the parties in an industry together
into an association. They establish the rules for that association
and they also establish some mechanism for keeping their prices
up. This became incredibly important after the great crash. This
was Hoover's major initiative with regard to dealing with price
drops that occurred across all industries after 1929.
In
this instance, the government was buying this wheat and then storing
this wheat and then couldn't unload it on foreign markets, so was
stuck with this wheat and other commodities as time went on, so
what impact did this ultimately have? Was it a good thing for the
economy? Or did it ultimately over-burden the economy?
Price guarantees
ultimately were bad for the economy, government ended up buying
a lot of the commodities, a lot of these food and then storing them.
What was government going to do with all of this food and all of
the commodities when prices didn't meet the guaranteed level that
the government had set for them? That got Herbert Hoover thinking
about maybe food aid abroad.
And
so what did he do?
Herbert Hoover
became one of the major and first proponents of providing Europe
and providing the rest of the world when necessary with food. The
United States became a major proponent of food aid. Nobody had thought
about that role for the United States before. Herbert Hoover was
the major figure in the United States with regard to humanitarian
relief for war torn countries.
This
is after World War II correct?
This is after
World War, yes. I'll start again. After World War II Herbert Hoover
took his humanitarian reputation, which he had many years and became
the major proponent of food for war torn countries. Food aid.
I'm
getting a little bit ahead of myself, but a lot of people are very
confused about Herbert Hoover because when you learn about him you
learn about all of this humanitarian work but before he took office
and after and it's just astounding, I mean he was such a force,
but then reputation he has of being in office is that the great
humanitarian became the great scrooge.
Herbert Hoover
would have been remembered as a great President, he certainly would
have been remembered as a great Secretary of Commerce and probably
a very good President, were it not for one very unfortunate thing
that happened months after he assumed office in 1929, the great
crash. Now it wasn't as if Herbert Hoover was responsible for the
crash and it wasn't as if Herbert Hoover knew what to do about the
great crash or about the Depression. I mean even Franklin D. Roosevelt
who came after Hoover didn't know what to do, but Hoover like any
president who is on the watch when the economy suffers, was blamed.
And the great humanitarian became the great scrooge.
Talking
about the early days of his residency and the stock market crash,
one of his big concerns when he took office was the "orgy of
speculation" he called it, that was alive on Wall Street and
he felt it was aided in part by Federal Reserve policy. Are you
aware of anything Hoover did to influence that policy and what was
that policy?
Herbert Hoover
was very concerned after the great crash about what he called the
'orgy of speculation' that had been going on in Wall Street. There
are perhaps some parallels today. But he blamed monetary policy
at that time. He blamed Wall Street. He blamed easy money. Now remember
the 1920s were, was a period of extra-ordinary wealth, but most
of that wealth found its way up to the top. The average citizen
didn't have all that much wealth, certainly didn't have enough wealth
to keep buying all the goods and services that the economy was producing.
Now Herbert Hoover didn't know it exactly, but he was approaching
the theory that John Maynard Keynes made famous years later, the
theory that there has to be enough aggregate demand to buy up all
of the goods and services, otherwise you have a recession or worse
and government has got to be the spender of last resort. Hoover
didn't know that. Even Franklin D. Roosevelt didn't know that.
Well,
the Federal Reserve he was kind of shaking his finger because of
the easy money policies there. The Federal Reserve was a young institution.
What was their role at the time and what could Hoover have done
or what could Hoover do to influence their policy?
The Federal
Reserve was a new institution, dated from 1913. It had nominal control
over the money supply. It was still feeling its way. It didn't know
quite what it was doing. Herbert Hoover blamed it for creating cheap
money and creating a boom condition, a speculative market condition,
but there wasn't much that the Fed knew that it could do to control
the money supply and there certainly wasn't much that Herbert Hoover
at that time, in 1929 or 1930 could do to control the money supply
or the Fed.
Tim
Egan again said at the time that in the fall of 1929 when the market
crashed, only about two percent of Americans actually owned stock
and David Kennedy has made the same point. So what affect did the
crash actually have on the economy? Did it cause the Depression?
The great crash
did not exactly cause the Depression. It did have a huge negative
affect on capital markets, because suddenly all of the people, and
there were very few number of people who were invested in the stock
market, but all the people who had been investing in the market,
they had lost everything. A lot of the banks had lost everything.
There were runs on banks. There was a general feeling of panic in
the country. If the stock market collapsed our capital markets couldn't
be trusted, what next? Now, Herbert Hoover was in the position that
we now know of in hindsight, where he could have asked the Federal
Reserve to perhaps expand the money supply. He could of spent much
more money, increased federal spending, not worried about deficits,
do that, fiscal and monetary policy would have been stimulative,
would of, they would of perhaps counteracted these fears, that came
from the virtual collapse of the capital market. But he didn't know
enough to do that. No economist knew enough. John Maynard Keynes
was still developing his theories. There was not the knowledge in
the economic policy community that would have told Hoover what to
do.
According
to Amity Shlaes, the Bloomberg journalist, she said that the Fed
and Hoover both seemed to think that we were in an inflationary
period, so all of the policies that they were enacting basically
were taking money out of the system when actually we were in deflation
and they should of been pushing money into the system and that the
country literally ran out of money. Do you agree that that's what
happened?
You have to
understand that the 1920s was a period of extraordinary prosperity.
The country had never seen anything like it and so the conventional
wisdom of the time was that inflation was the likely problem. When
you have that much prosperity you expect prices are going up and
even after the great crash, the assumption was well maybe there's
still an inflationary problem, maybe that was the real fundamental
problem behind the great crash. And so Hoover and the other institutions
of government did exactly opposite what they should have done. They
pulled money out. They not, they didn't stimulate the economy. They
counter-stimulated. They actually depressed the economy by cutting
federal spending, by in a sense indirectly reducing the money supply.
Well this all made things worse. And including a few years later,
I mean the worst thing of all Hoover was very supportive of two
congressmen. Congressman Smoot and Congressman Hawley, who wanted
to protect the market from foreign competition. Well, if you protect
the market from foreign competition you are also reducing sales
by American businesses abroad. You are increasing prices to all
Americans of everything they purchase abroad. You couldn't do anything
worse than the Smoot-Hawley Tariff. Well, you throw in the Smoot-Hawley
Tariff, you throw in all of the other backward policies that Herbert
Hoover actually concocted because again that was the conventional
wisdom at the time and you turned a bad situation into a real full
fledged depression.
Can
you describe at all then what it was like in a local community?
Sales are down, there's no money at the bank, what that was like
on a local level in this country at the time?
Most people
were in a local economy. They didn't really feel that they were
part of a national, certainly not an international economy. They
dealt with people on Main St. Their jobs were connected to the local
economy. Now suddenly, in your town, you find that it is harder
and harder to borrow money. The banks, in fact are in trouble. You
couldn't imagine that your own savings in the bank, the little savings
and loan, might be in trouble. But yes, rumors were circulating
that even your savings might be in trouble and so you run to the
bank and you try to get your savings out, but everybody else is
running to the bank trying to get their savings out and nobody can
get their savings out because of course the bank doesn't have enough
money to deal with everybody's savings. And meanwhile, the little
town, the major producers in the town that had been relying on buyers
in Chicago, buyers in New York for some of the things produced in
town, they could no longer have a market. The markets were drying
up. Nobody was buying. And suddenly you, in a little town in America,
the middle of America, felt that the economy was collapsing, you
were losing your job. You were losing your job. You were told that
there was no job for you. And one out of four Americans in the workforce
discovered that they no longer had a job. Can you imagine the fear?
There was no unemployment insurance. There was no social security.
There was not even a minimum wage. There was, there was nothing.
The Federal Government had no safety net, didn't even think in terms
of safety nets. And suddenly everything started to crumble, before
your very eyes. You didn't understand it. Nobody was explaining
to you. Nobody understood it.
Just
to connect the dots a moment and there are a couple of things I
want to go back on, there's no money in the local bank because of
the stock market crash or for another reason?
There's no
money in the local bank, not because of the stock market crash,
but because of the, the lack of confidence. You see the stock market
crash causes capital markets to get very nervous. The big national
capital markets. Now your local bank is only indirectly related
to the big capital market, but your local bank depends on making
loans for everybody else in the town who has put their money into
that local bank. And if people get nervous, that nervousness permeates
the entire capital market. You see capital markets very psychological
and when the psychology turns negative and people get scared, they
want their money back.
Both
Tim Egan and, I believe, Jonathan Alter posited that the local banks
were part of those two percent who were investing in the stock markets
and they had literally lost, many of the local banks had literally
lost the money in the stock market.
Most local
banks were not directly invested in the stock market. Most of the
runs on the local banks occurred because people were simply afraid.
They were frightened. They had lost confidence. Now some Americans
certainly in your bigger towns and cities did put deposits into
the banks and did invest in the stock market and used their savings
to invest in the stock market, but more importantly they borrowed
from the banks to put money in the stock market. There were no margin
requirements as they're called, that is requirements that you have
to have a certain amount of money in the bank before you make big
investments. And so many very wealthy Americans in many big cities
borrowed heavily. They turned around, put that money in the stock
market. The stock market collapsed and then those people couldn't
pay back their loans. So some of the big banks in our major metropolitan
areas, they were hurt badly.
I
also want to go back a little bit on Smoot-Hawley. Originally I'm
told that Hoover did not really support this. It was a long drawn
out fight in Congress and that he ultimately supported it because
it was a Republican platform. But over a thousand economists petitioned
Herbert Hoover not to sign on, not to pass this law. Why did he
ultimately move forward with this law?
Even though
most economists were against Smoot-Hawley, Herbert Hoover decided
to sign on. He was not originally for it. He did decide to sign
on, partly because it was a Republican bill. Partly because he wanted
to make it look like he was taking action. You see the public was
looking to the President, you have to do something, things are desperate.
And members of Congress were saying well at least we should protect
American jobs, at least we should protect the country and Herbert
Hoover was kind of swept up in that, that wave of doing something
by protecting the economy.
Another
thing that Hoover did in his term and it's been held up as one of
his great mistakes was that he enacted a tax increase at the same
time that the economy was in a downturn. What is your position,
why did he enact a tax increase? Was this a good move? Was it a
bad move?
Herbert Hoover
made another great mistake. He enacted a tax increase. Now you don't
want a tax increase when the economy is going downhill. A tax increase
means the people have less money than they otherwise have to buy
all of the goods and services in the economy and already people
didn't have very much money. But Herbert Hoover felt it was very
important to balance the budget. Now there was kind of an orthodoxy
about balancing the budget and he felt and some economists agreed
with him, that if you balanced the Federal budget everything would
be ok. Franklin D. Roosevelt, running against Herbert Hoover in
1932 also promised to balance the budget.
Why
was it important to balance the budget? Why not deficit spend and
try to get the country back on its feet?
It was years
later that John Maynard Keynes, the great British economist understood
and figured out and propagated the belief, convinced people, and
he was right, that when demand is drying up, when people don't have
enough money in their pockets to buy all of the things, that the
goods, the goods and services that the economy is producing, government
has got to be the spender of last resort. Government has got to
go into deficit. Deficits are good when your facing recessions or
depressions. You want deficits, Federal Government deficits. But
at the time Herbert Hoover was President that Keynesian orthodoxy
had not yet been understood. Instead, there was the old orthodoxy,
the old classical economic orthodoxy, which is it's always good
to balance the budget. It's always good for governments to balance
the budget. We see some of this orthodoxy coming back now but it's
nonsense.
I
still struggle with the concept of the gold standard. Was balancing
the budget a part of maintaining the gold standard and if so what
was the importance of the gold standard?
Balancing the
budget was related to the gold standard and the gold standard was
related in turn, to the idea that dollars had to mean something.
Dollars couldn't just be pieces of paper. If you don't, if you didn't
have a particular amount of gold behind every dollar then there
would be a temptation to print too many dollars and inflation would
be the almost inevitable necessary result. Years before a lot of
Midwesterners, farmers and others who were almost invariably in
debt to Eastern bankers, wanted to get off the gold standard. They
wanted to go on the silver standard because silver was in much more
greater abundance than gold and they figured if there was a silver
standard, then dollars would be worth less, then their debts could
be more easily paid off. William Jennings Bryan, the great prairie
populist, had run for President on the proposition that we should
move from gold to silver. He was, he said 'we shall not be crucified
on a cross of gold'. But actually it was about inflation versus
keeping the value of the dollar and the Easterners prevailed and
that orthodoxy that you want to keep the dollar and the gold standard
was the orthodoxy right through the Hoover administration.
Please
summarize the answer you just gave regarding Herbert Hoover and
the gold standard.
Balancing the
budget was related to maintaining the gold standard. The gold standard
was the simple proposition that a dollar had to be backed by a certain
amount of gold and if not you risked inflation. Now this all came
from thirty years before, forty years before, a lot of Midwesterners
were very much indebted almost perennially indebted to Eastern banks.
They wanted to go off the gold standard and onto the silver standard
because silver was more abundant and they felt that if you went
on the silver then the dollars would be cheaper. They could pay
their debts back more easily. Inflation was something that they
actually wanted if you were a Midwesterner and had all those debts.
Even William Jennings Bryan, the great prairie populist who ran
for President said, 'We will not be sacrificed on a cross of gold.'
But by the time of the 1920s Hebert Hoover had absorbed what was
the conventional Eastern establishment understanding and that was
that you had to have a gold standard. You had to have dollars that
were backed by gold. It was the only way of preventing inflation.
And that together with balancing the budget framed the understanding
of what government and what the Federal Government needed to do
to maintain the economy, maintain order in the economy. It was wrong.
But that was the understanding at the time
Was
Hoover trying to reinstate confidence and say that a dollar really
does have value? In some ways was he on the right track or did it
just misfire?
Hoover wanted
to restore confidence. He knew that the great crash took a great
toll in terms of the confidence of Wall Street and indirectly the
confidence of average Americans with regard to the banking system
and indirectly with regard to aggregate demand all over America.
He understood intuitively that confidence had to be restored and
so he turned almost naturally to the economic orthodoxy of the time,
which was balancing the budget, maintaining the gold standard -
thinking that all this would restore confidence. The fact is nobody
knew why the Great Depression was upon us. Nobody knew why the great
crash had occurred. Yes, there was speculation on Wall Street. Yes,
there had been extraordinary growth and extraordinary prosperity
during the 1920s. But nobody, nobody has a good idea what was going
on.
What was going on? What did cause the Depression?
Two things caused
the Depression. There were many, it was a perfect storm. There were
many other things that caused it, but two big things. Number one
there was rampant speculation and that rampant speculation, even
though it was not a large portion of the population that were speculating,
it was a large amount of money. And that speculation was based on
almost no margin. Everybody was very highly leveraged. There was
a lot of debt and that inevitably caught up with the Stock Market.
But on top of that you had huge prosperity but not that many people
were sharing it. The average person was doing better but not that
much better. And so that all of the goods and services produced
by the American economy could not find a market with regard to Americans
who didn't have enough money in their pockets to buy all the goods
and services. Yes, the very rich had money but the very rich didn't
need all the goods and services. That that's what it means to be
rich - you already have most of what you need. Exports could not
nearly take up the slack and once The United States put up export
barriers, The Hawley-Smoot Tariff, then everything began to fall
apart.
Hoover
very early on 1930, 1931 said that the roots of the Depression were
in the global markets, that this was not an American problem. What's
your view on that?
Hoover did say
that the roots of the Depression were global that it wasn't just
an American phenomenon. And he was right to a large extent. But
he got cause and effect a little bit wrong. He said or thought that
it was because Europe was in a recession and elsewhere Asia was
in recession, that America kind of caught the disease and it turned
into a depression here. Actually that's not quite the right cause
and effect. Europe never recovered much of Europe never recovered
from World War I. Remember Germany was paying reparations deep in
debt to the Allied Powers right through the 1920s. No America and
America's recession that turned into a depression caused the rest
of the world to go into an even deeper recession depression. And
that had a kind of backlash effect on the United States because
who could buy our goods and services?
The
country did ultimately go off the gold standard I think that it
was Nixon who took us off but if I recall FDR played with it.
The country
ultimately went off the gold standard. Nixon took us off the gold
standard. There was a lot of economic support behind moving off
of the gold standard. Letting the dollar float according to global
demand for dollars. Made a lot of sense. Franklin D. Roosevelt flirted
with the idea but there was not nearly the economic consensus at
that time. There was still in the 1930s the notion that you wanted
to keep the dollar exactly with regard to a certain amount of gold.
You didn't want to depart from that at all for fear that you would
start losing, the dollar would start losing its value not only domestically
but internationally.
Hoover
initially enacts policies that pull money out the economy, but ultimately
he starts making loans to small business owners and loans to banks
to keep banks solvent. He never has a stimulus program that gives
money directly to the consumer.
Herbert Hoover
eventually started giving money to the banks. He started giving
money to small businesses. He started creating a lot of loan, loan
windows, lending windows. Now nobody in the Federal Government had
ever done any of this before. This was all innovation. These were
innovations that were taken up by Franklin D. Roosevelt in the New
Deal. In fact, you can trace almost everything that happened in
the New Deal with regard to the economy to Herbert Hoover. But Herbert
Hoover did not give money directly to individuals. That's partly
because there was not the widespread understanding that the fundamental
problem was that people didn't have enough money to buy things.
And it was secondarily because it just was so foreign, so foreign
to the notion of government. And whether it's Republican government
or even Democratic government for the government to put money in
people's pockets how could that possibly be? Why would that help?
At least that's what people in the 1930s thought. What are you doing
there's no mechanism for doing that and how can you possibly go
about doing that? The Federal Government has no business putting
money directly in people's pockets. In fact, Herbert Hoover was
criticized quite passionately by many business people, big business
people, and also many economists for lending so much money to small
businesses and to the banks.
Why
so? Why didn't they believe that these actions could jump start
the economy?
Put your self
back in the minds of people who had gone through the First World
War, the Roaring Twenties and now this complicated, confusing, awful
1930s. What was the role of the government? What was the role of
the Federal Government? Nobody knew. Was it to intervene in the
economy? Most people assumed and most reasonable economists and
most business leaders assumed - to balance the budget, to keep the
dollar safe and on the gold standard, but to turn around and lend
money? Why? Keynesianism, the idea that government had to be the
spender and lender of last resort had not even been invented, had
not even come on the scene yet. Why would government be lending
money? Now today we say, of course, to stimulate the economy. But
even the verb to stimulate the economy had not yet been invented.
In
Congress there were senators and representatives who were saying
some of my constituents are actually starving. Hoover put in place
programs to lend money to provide feed to animals, but he didn't
have programs that offered support for individuals and families
in those same communities who were starving. He was the Great Humanitarian.
On a humanitarian level why was our government not doing more to
help the average citizen?
The great paradox
of Herbert Hoover was that he had a reputation, a justifiable reputation,
as being the Great Humanitarian for his work in World War I and
for his work even as Secretary of Commerce under Calvin Coolidge.
But when it came to Americans in the Great Depression who starving,
families who just simply couldn't make it, Herbert Hoover could
not see how the Federal Government could go about handing out food
or clothing or money to families. He understood industries. He understood
business. He understood how if businesses improved and if businesses
were prosperous everybody who worked for those businesses and the
families who were dependent on the breadwinners who worked for those
businesses would be better. But he could not get into his head the
notion that the Federal Government had a role to play in direct
humanitarian aid to hard stricken families.
This
goes back a bit to his philosophy of American Individualism and
that communities should take care of themselves and that there was
a voluntarist instinct that Americans had. Also that Americans were
completely unique in the world. Can you talk about American Individualism?
Herbert Hoover
understood something about America that made America unique in the
world. It was the same thing that de Tocqueville, the French sociologist,
really a French clerk who came over in the 1830s and wandered around
America and wrote that wonderful book, Democracy in America, probably
the best book ever about America, understood and that is America
was and to some extent still is a nation of communities, communities
that were neighborhoods, that communities that took care of each
other, communities that basically were charitable. And through voluntary
activity, through voluntary charitable activity, communities took
care of their own. This was deep in the American spirit. This is
what America was in the 18th Century. What the beginnings of America
were in the 17th Century. This is what Herbert Hoover found when
he was growing up. He came from Quaker parents. This was the Quaker
philosophy. This was years later expressed in Norman Rockwell paintings.
America was a nation of communities. So when it came to people who
were starving or families who were in need, Herbert Hoover assumed
that individuals in communities through their voluntary actions
would take care of each other. It was not the job of the Federal
Government.
Was
that a philosophy that worked during the Depression?
The philosophy
of individualism and even communitarianism, communities taking care
of their own, it's a nice philosophy. I think we all romanticize
about the American community, but during the Great Depression it
made no sense because communities had no resources. Entire communities
were wiped out. One in four wage earners was without a job. Which
meant that most of town, your American towns, most cities simply
just didn't have the capacity to take care of everybody else. People
were lucky if they could take care of their own. And so there was
a crying need for government intervention to help individual families
in trouble.
Was
he just too insulated in the White House? Did he just not understand?
He stuck to this principle for a very, very long time.
Herbert Hoover
stuck to the principle that individuals and families and communities
could and should take care of themselves even as the Depression
got worse and worse. I think that he clung to the belief that it
would turn up, that the Depression can't go on long. That it's just
a very severe recession that actually America will do better. He
was a businessman. He assumed from his understanding of history
that these things were cyclical and the economy would bounce back.
And so given those sets of assumptions, given his deep belief in
communities and in kind of the charitable impulses of America, he
just did not feel that it was necessary to do something that the
Federal Government had never done before. It was almost as if he
was lacking in imagination. He just couldn't see the possibility
for the Federal Government to actually give money. Give handouts.
Give food. Give humanitarian assistance directly to families in
need. It was partly that he was isolated in the White House, I think,
partly that he was isolated in the business community. His advisors
were all telling him things would improve. Try this. Try that. It
was a true blind spot.
At
the time there was Pulitzer Prize-winning writer Nicholas Murray
Butler who said that 'our very democracy was threatened by the Great
Depression.' You talk in Super-Capitalism about how now democracy
is being challenged by the current economy. What kind of tests was
democracy undergoing at the time of the Great Depression?
Democracy is
a fragile thing. We take it for granted but to have a sustained
democracy in which representatives of the people, true representatives
of the people are making decisions that the people feel are in their
best interests, is rare in history. Now when the nation is in very,
very trying times economic difficulties such as the Great Depression
Americans because they are very nervous and anxious they want solutions
and they turn often or they could turn to demagogues, Huey Long,
for example, people who promise them easy solutions who blame others
for the Depression, not the system itself. Who want to blame whether
it's historically Blacks or foreigners or the poor or elites or
government itself or corporations or Jews. There are always scapegoats
whenever countries and societies face economic difficulties. And
it's in those periods of time where democracy and the democratic
system itself is tested most, because those demagogues almost inevitably
attract a lot of followers who just want the trains to run on time,
just want food for their families. Don't care about anything else.
And so in this time of testing democracy, American Democracy survived.
It survived the Great Depression. Others succumbed. Around the world
others succumbed to Fascism, Totalitarianism, Totalitarian Communism
or worse - we kept our democracy. That's a tremendous achievement.
Why
do you think we were able to and others couldn't?
We were able
to keep our democracy through the Great Depression because government
was understood as being there working for people. Working for the
common person. Now Herbert Hoover gets a bum rap in this regard.
I think that he did not believe in direct handouts to people. He
did not believe in government's capacity or the appropriateness
of government actually giving money to people, but he was very inventive.
He did believe in government intervention in the economy, did not
think the economy was perfect by any stretch of the imagination
and much of the New Deal, Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal, was built
on the foundations that Herbert Hoover laid. Franklin D. Roosevelt
did go one step further, did provide people with not only hope,
Herbert Hoover was not a great charismatic figure, Franklin D. Roosevelt
did talk to people directly. Those fireside chats had enormous positive
impact on the American psyche. But Roosevelt also believed in giving
money out to people, helping people directly. It wasn't until the
Second World War, it wasn't until America had no choice but to go
deep in debt and to use it's entire productive capacity for wartime
purposes that we got out of the Great Depression. Even Franklin
D. Roosevelt did not understand Keynesianism, did not understand
the principles that John Maynard Keynes was advancing. In a time
of depression when the country's economic capacity is not being
utilized, when you have so many people out of work you've got to
spend money. You've got to reduce taxes, you've got to do something,
do anything, but it was the government's continuous effort to do
at least something that I think kept the faith of the people.
Hoover
won by a landslide in 1928 and then along comes the 1932 election.
Some believed at the time prohibition was still the main issue of
the election. What do you view as the main issue?
In 1932 Herbert
Hoover was thought to be just a fabulous politician, I mean he won
by a landslide in 1928. He ran against Al Smith, very, very popular
New Yorker. Now there was an issue of Al Smith's Catholicism in
that election, but Herbert Hoover had established himself as a great
humanitarian, a great Secretary of Commerce, he was in the middle
of everything the Coolidge administration had done. His face is,
his face was on the, in the newspaper headlines, in the newspaper
front pages and his, let me start again. Herbert Hoover won the
election of 1928 in a landslide against a Democrat, Al Smith. Partly
that was because Smith was Catholic, but Smith was very popular.
I think Hoover won in a landslide because he was so well known and
so popular himself. He thought of government from the standpoint
of being an engineer and did so many things. I mean almost everything
that the Coolidge administration of whom, of which, Hoover was a
part, everything that the Coolidge administration did had Herbert
Hoover's name on it. His name was in the newspapers constantly.
His face was in the newspapers. I think he was almost better known
than the President, better than Calvin Coolidge. So by the time
of the '28 election he was the natural. But he lost the next election
in 1932. Why? The economy was in shambles. Franklin D. Roosevelt
promised change. Franklin D. Roosevelt was charismatic. Franklin
D. Roosevelt was a new face. Franklin D. Roosevelt promised that
it was possible that happy days were here again and the public looked
at where it was and said to Herbert Hoover, I'm sorry you're fired.
I've
got two more questions for you. One is what lessons, now you were
just talking about change and charisma, what lessons are there to
be learned about today from what the nation and what the economy
went through during the Great Depression?
There's several.
There's several lessons to be learned from what the nation and what
the economy went through in the 1920s, 1930s, the Great Depression.
Number one - we've got to be concerned when despite what looks like
prosperity, most of the benefits of the economy go to the very top
- the rich get richer and most people maybe do a little bit better,
but there's not enough demand, they don't have enough money in their
pockets to buy all the goods and services that the economy is producing.
That's what happened in the 1920s that contributed to the Great
Depression and unfortunately there are parallels in terms of what's
been happening over the last 20 years. The other thing we need to
understand is that an economy that is based on debt, leverage, just
the speculation that went on in the late 1920s on borrowed money,
on other people's money, is dangerous because there eventually is
a kind of day of reckoning. You can't just borrow more and more
and speculate more and more because eventually that speculation
is going to be a balloon that pops and eventually those debts have
to be repaid. And eventually the people to whom you owe the money
will not be paid and they will have to lay a lot of people off and
the economy will suffer. Again, there are parallels between what
happened in the late 1920s and early 30s and what is happening now.
A third lesson is don't feel that protectionism is the answer because
if you simply lift the gate and say we're going to recede from the
world economy, we're going to secede from the global system of goods
and services, you make things much worse. You may think you're protecting
jobs but actually you are making everything more expensive. You
are reducing the possibility of jobs because people just can't afford
what needs to be bought and what they need to buy. And fourth you
need leaders who are experimental, who are not doctrinaire, who
are pragmatic, who are not doctrinaire liberals or doctrinaire conservatives,
who in times of stress are willing to try things now they may not
work. You try something. It doesn't work. You stop it. You experiment.
You've got to be willing to experiment and you have to be also,
and we saw this because Herbert Hoover wasn't and Franklin D. Roosevelt
was, a great communicator. You've got to give people confidence
that somebody up there at the top is, is trying hard on their behalf
and the people around that person also care.
You
touched on one of my next questions because I was going to make
it a two-parter, was what lessons do we learn from Herbert Hoover's
personal experience in the White House? What should his legacy be?
How should we view him then as President?
I think history
should view Herbert Hoover as a great Secretary of Commerce, somebody
who understood government's role in supporting industry, up to a
point. We don't want big subsidies for industry, but occasionally
there are times when some bailouts may be appropriate. I think we
should understand that Herbert Hoover was up against something that
the country had never seen before, a perfect storm in terms of the
stock market crash. A country that didn't have enough money to buy
the goods and services it was producing. A government that didn't
have the machinery to stimulate aggregate demand and understand
that Herbert Hoover did with this small set of cards he had, fairly
well, that he was the predecessor to the New Deal, many of the experiments
that Franklin D. Roosevelt tried had been tried by Herbert Hoover
initially. That he was a failed President, partly because he couldn't
communicate very well, didn't have charisma, partly because he didn't
give people money or aid or food directly, was not the humanitarian
he could have been directly for the American people. Partly because
he and indeed nobody, even Roosevelt, understood how important it
was for the government to be the spender of last resort. To just
spend money on infrastructure, spend money on project that needed
to be spent in order to get the economy going again. That was not
something Hoover understood, it wasn't something that even Roosevelt
understood.
And
yet Roosevelt just tried everything?
Roosevelt, came
to office in 19, January of 1933, the depths of the Depression,
did not understand Keynesian economics. Knew that the country was
in deep, deep trouble. Knew that Hoover had failed, the country
desperately wanted a new leader and somebody who would experiment,
who would just try things. Try anything. And Franklin D. Roosevelt
had enormous energy and he brought into Washington people with enormous
energy, his cabinet and his advisors. Washington had never seen
anything like it. It was like a tornado of activity. And much of
it didn't work. Much of it was for naught, but at least it was activity
and it gave the people some hope and some optimism and eventually
it did work.
Hoover's
philosophy was basically to leave it to the public, leave it to
the private industry; does that admonition apply to his time?
Yes, it does,
let me say. Herbert Hoover believed that we could rely on private
industry. Private industry may be bolstered by government a little
bit, private industry perhaps given the license to come together
and form plans that if we just allowed industry to do what industry
does well then the country would do better as a whole. It was a
kind of an early version of trickle down economics from businesses
standpoint. Well what I think Herbert Hoover did not understand
is that business exists to make a profit. Business does not exist
to be a voluntary charitable institution. Business wants to make
a profit and most of the time in its profit making capacity, business
also creates public benefits in the form of new products, new services.
Competition among businesses is good for the public because we get
great deals and investors get great deals and we get better products
and services - the more competition, the better. Herbert Hoover
believed that if you put businesses together, reduced competition
and gave them kind of the mandate to plan their industry for the
public's benefit that the public would come out the winner. Well,
maybe there are certain rare times, maybe there are times when the
stresses on the nation are so huge, war, perhaps depression, when
you can trust businesses to come together and business executives
to come together and plan for the good of the nation, but that's
a huge gamble, that's not what their job is. Their job is to compete.
Their job is to make new goods and services. Their job is to make
a profit, not to understand the public interest, that's government's
job.
And
then at his time, he wasn't accepting of that job so the public
was left to fend for themselves.
Because Herbert
Hoover placed so much reliance on business and so much reliance
on this vision of businesses coming together and planning and having
a little support from the government and basically lifting wages
and lifting prices and doing all of the things that needed to be
done to, in Hoover's view, get us back on track, get the economy
back on track. The public was actually left out in the cold in the
final analysis. Herbert Hoover placed far too much reliance on business.
He understood from the standpoint of being the Secretary of Commerce
that businesses coming together could develop common standards and
common measures and could be relied on to develop in ways that industries
should develop. Sort of a sense of how an industry could map it's
future. But he underestimated a) the importance of competition,
in terms of keeping businesses honest and b) he overestimated the
importance of business in coming to the aid of public in ways that
only government fundamentally can do.